Understanding what happens at the epicenter of an earthquake, as the
tectonic plates beneath the earth shift and the earth shakes, could help
us better predict when and where the next big one will hit. For the
past six years scientists from a number of institutions have joined in a
project called San Andreas Fault Observatory at Depth, or SAFOD. They
have drilled to the core of the San Andreas Fault, near Parkfield
California, down to a specific area along the fault known to experience a
number of small earthquakes every year. By retrieving and studying core
rock samples from that site, geologists Chris Marone and Brett
Carpenter and hydrogeologist Demian Saffer are getting a better
understanding of the types of rocks involved in major quakes, versus the
rocks present at more forgiving ones. They're putting core samples
through rigorous tests at their lab at Penn State to determine the
rocks' strengths and breaking points. They say their project is just one
piece of a complex puzzle - how to better predict when major
earthquakes, like the one that devastated Japan, will occur.
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